The key characteristics of elections
There are subtle differences between the various elections to be aware
of. To begin with an obvious point, a presidential election is conducted on
issues that are distinct to local elections. For instance, the issue of
national security holds a degree of resonance during a presidential election
that just doesn't exist for an election to the state level. Equally, there
are some issues that are decided purely at the local rather than national
level.
Although
there are some exceptions, it is unusual for an issue to be the determining
one throughout the various levels of governance. The state of the economy will
invariably be a key factor regardless of the level at which the election is
held. However, given the relatively weak nature of party labels within the
states; it is unlikely that a political party will be credited/blamed entirely for the
poor shape of the economy. The actions of any given congressman may have little
direct relevance to the policies adopted by the ruling administration. Indeed,
he/she may be critical of the President even though they may derive from the
same party.
State elections (such as those for the governor and the state
legislature) are more likely to focus upon local issues and the record of the
incumbent. The overall state of the nation has only passing relevance to the
electorate. This makes predicting a nationwide trend very difficult for
dedicated politicos. A party might do badly in certain areas, but increase their
vote in others. Nonetheless, there are some exceptions to the rule. One recent
exception to consider occurred in 2002, when the mid-terms were dominated by
the issue of national security. The first nationwide election held after 9/11
focused upon which party would offer the best policies to deal with the threat
of terrorism. The theme of that year’s mid-terms was therefore a strong card
for the GOP under a ‘wartime President.’ The result of the 2002 congressional
mid-terms (and the state-level elections) is all the more remarkable given the
tendency for the party in government to lose seats. In summary, the GOP gained
seats in both chambers. It was the first time this had been achieved by the
President’s party since 1934.
Quite frankly, it is difficult for one party to entirely dominate American politics.
The system of staggered elections, alongside an intricate network of checks and
balances; seeks to prevent one party becoming dominant. The founding fathers
were largely opposed to the formation of strong parties, believing them to be a
threat to stability and democracy within the fledging Republic. This
worldview was captured in the farewell address given to the nation by George Washington; in
which he warned against “the baneful effects of the spirit of party” and the
potential for political instability caused by party factions. Whilst parties
can emerge as predominant (as was the
case of the Democrats during the New Deal era), it is very common for the two
parties to share power within the states.
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